[e] Trends
A trend refers to the direction of prices. Rising peaks and troughs constitute an up trend; falling peaks and troughs constitute a downtrend that determines the steepness of the current trend. The breaking of a trend line usually signals a trend reversal. Horizontal peaks and troughs characterize a trading range.
In general, Charles Dow categorized trends into 3 categories: (a) Bull trend (up-trend: a series of highs and lows, where each high is higher than the previous one); (b) Bear trend (down-trend: a series of highs and lows, where each low is lower than the previous one); (c) Treading trend (horizontal-trend: a series of highs and lows, where peaks and lows are around the same as the previous peaks and lows).
Moving averages are used to smooth price information in order to confirm trends and support-and-resistance levels. They are also useful in deciding on a trading strategy, particularly in futures trading or a market with a strong up or down trend. Recognizing a trend may be done using standard deviation, which is a measure of volatility. Bollinger Bands, for example, illustrate trends with this approach. When the markets become more volatile, the
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